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Macroeconomic Perspectives – What We've Learned This Week

Informa Economics’ forecasts: Clearly, the economy is weaker than anticipated earlier this year as QI growth was pretty anemic and with weak energy prices persisting, the energy sector's cutbacks are more of a drag on domestic growth than consumer benefits are a positive.  As we entered the year, we had hope of 3+ percent GDP growth in 2016, but recent evidence has taken our expectations back to a mere 2 percent for the year. You may note, we have added 2017 expectations to our tables and call us optimistic, but we once again expect that the economy will accomplish energy rebalancing in the months ahead and stabilization of the domestic energy sector and improving employment and 3+ percent GDP growth for next year.

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